The US economic calendar is stacked with many events throughout the month but none is more anticipated that the release of Non-Farm Payroll figures. Non-Farm Payrolls also known as NFP, is reported monthly by the US Bureau of Labour Statistics to give a timely glimpse into employment changes inside of the United States. Ultimately this report can give traders insight into whether the US economy is expanding or contracting while directly influences the decisions of policy makers such as the US Federal Reserve. With this in mind let’s take a closer at this news event, so we can better understand NFP and its potential impact on marks. First, NFP looks specifically at net changes in employment as jobs are created or subtracted in an economy in any given month. The term Non-Farm is used since farm / agricultural workers are not included in the employment count. The decision to not include agricultural jobs lies in these jobs being largely seasonal that could possibly produce small temporary shifts in labour reporting. For this reason, certain government employees, private household employees and non-profit organization are also not included in the count. NFP figures are known to have significant swings. Traders often speculate on these changes in NFP figures, which often causes market volatility on the day of their release, NFP numbers have been known to produce volatility in the Forex Market. Considering what occurred during the last month’s NFP release on a USD/JPY 5min chart. NFP was released at 8:30 am ET and the numbers came out at 227k, significantly better than initial expectations of 180k. During this time the USD/JPY declined as much as 91 pips in the first 5 minutes of trading. Over the course of the next 2 hours, the USD/JPY eventually fell as much as 113 pips! Using fundamental analysis and historical data a short-term high risk position is traded winning traders up-to 1000x leverage and significant profit ratio because traders, retail and institutional (huge), make educated guesses (bets) before and during the announcement. The U.S NFP is a key fundamental announcement that happens every month, since a lot of people are trading it, that drives up volume and in turn leads to higher volatility (bigger moves) . This is all driven by market sentiment.
An exchange-traded fund (ETF) is a type of security that involves a collection of securities—such as stocks—that often tracks an underlying index, although they can invest in any number of industry sectors or use various strategies. ETFs are in many ways similar to mutual funds; however, they are listed on exchanges and ETF shares trade throughout the day just like ordinary stock. Some well-known example is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), which tracks the S&P 500 Index. ETFs can contain many types of investments, including stocks, commodities, bonds, or a mixture of investment types. An exchange-traded fund is a marketable security, meaning it has an associated price that allows it to be easily bought and sold. An ETF is called an exchange-traded fund since it’s traded on an exchange just like stocks. The price of an ETF’s shares will change throughout the trading day as the shares are bought and sold on the market. This is unlike mutual funds, which are not traded on an exchange, and trade only once per day after the markets close. An ETF is a type of fund that holds multiple underlying assets, rather than only one like a stock. Because there are multiple assets within an ETF, they can be a popular choice for diversification.
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